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Table 6 Effects on the expected values of Yi,t for displaced older and prime-age workers separately estimated for the sample entering unemployment before the UB reforms of October 2006 and the sample entering unemployment after the reforms

From: Labour market effects of job displacement for prime-age and older workers

 

Before October 2006

After October 2006

 

Older age (45–54)

Prime age (35–44)

Difference

Older age (45–54)

Prime age (35–44)

Difference

Panel A: employment

 

Year 1

− 0.3027

− 0.2421

− 0.0605

− 0.2986

− 0.2327

− 0.0659

 

(0.0056)

(0.0037)

(0.0068)

(0.0021)

(0.0014)

(0.0025)

Year 2

− 0.1938

− 0.1177

− 0.0760

− 0.2075

− 0.1228

− 0.0846

 

(0.0057)

(0.0038)

(0.0068)

(0.0021)

(0.0014)

(0.0025)

Year 3

− 0.1321

− 0.0800

− 0.0521

− 0.1432

− 0.1022

− 0.0411

 

(0.0061)

(0.0041)

(0.0074)

(0.0024)

(0.0017)

(0.0029)

Year 4

− 0.0561

− 0.0592

0.0031

− 0.1381

− 0.0816

− 0.0565

 

(0.0068)

(0.0047)

(0.0082)

(0.0036)

(0.0024)

(0.0042)

Year 5

− 0.0087

− 0.0446

0.0359

− 0.1037

− 0.0798

− 0.0239

 

(0.0071)

(0.0050)

(0.0087)

(0.0043)

(0.0028)

(0.0051)

Year 6

− 0.0102

− 0.0343

0.0241**

   
 

(0.0086)

(0.0059)

(0.0104)

   

N

1,342,445

1,342,445

1,342,445

3,315,359

3,315,359

3,315,359

Panel B: relative wages

 

Year 1

− 0.0451

− 0.0274

− 0.0176

− 0.0523

− 0.0486

− 0.0037*

 

(0.0035)

(0.0023)

(0.0042)

(0.0016)

(0.0011)

(0.0019)

Year 2

− 0.0271

− 0.0116

− 0.0156

− 0.0639

− 0.0480

− 0.0159

 

(0.0035)

(0.0024)

(0.0042)

(0.0016)

(0.0010)

(0.0019)

Year 3

− 0.0143

− 0.0013

− 0.0130

− 0.0663

− 0.0370

− 0.0293

 

(0.0039)

(0.0026)

(0.0047)

(0.0018)

(0.0012)

(0.0022)

Year 4

− 0.0101**

0.0134

− 0.0235

− 0.0560

− 0.0380

− 0.0180

 

(0.0044)

(0.0030)

(0.0053)

(0.0027)

(0.0017)

(0.0032)

Year 5

0.0207

0.0159

0.0048

− 0.0556

− 0.0495

− 0.0061

 

(0.0047)

(0.0032)

(0.0057)

(0.0032)

(0.0021)

(0.0038)

Year 6

0.0510

0.0160

0.0351

   
 

(0.0058)

(0.0038)

(0.0069)

   

N

1,092,998

1,092,998

1,092,998

3,007,018

3,007,018

3,007,018

  1. Notes: Calculations on the basis of fixed effects estimates of the expanded version of Eq. 1. Calculations for employment, wages and additional variables are based on separate regressions. We do not observe the sixth year after job loss for those entering after October 2006. Significance levels: *10%, ** 5% and ***1%. Source: Own calculations using registration data from Statistics Netherlands on displaced workers