Table 8 Bivariate probability of permanent layoff: women

Shutdown rate

−.1088

1.2718

.4622

.2457

1.3510

.9273

(.6894)

(.5613) ^b

(.3462)

(.5169)

(.5141) ^c

(.3633) ^b

Lag of earnings

−.0642

−.0847

−.0927

−.0990

−.0893

−.0908

(.0090) ^c

(.0074) ^c

(.0101) ^c

(.0148) ^c

(.0107) ^c

(.0089) ^c

Age 35–49

−.0572

.0154

.0270

.0434

.0662

.0343

(.0080) ^c

(.0103)

(.0114) ^b

(.0132) ^c

(.0125) ^c

(.0093) ^c

Age 50+

−.0166

.1236

.1524

.1724

.1760

.1379

(.0146)

(.0179) ^c

(.0208) ^c

(.0175) ^c

(.0212) ^c

(.0196) ^c

Married

−.1738

−.1159

−.0849

−.0637

−.0310

−.0852

(.0358) ^c

(.0189) ^c

(.0112) ^c

(.0126) ^c

(.0100) ^c

(.0146) ^c

Tenure

−.1015

−.0944

−.0883

−.0806

−.0669

−.0928

(.0080) ^c

(.0055) ^c

(.0046) ^c

(.0052) ^c

(.0056) ^c

(.0052) ^c

Tenure squared

.0026

.0025

.0025

.0025

.0020

.0028

(.0003) ^c

(.0002) ^c

(.0002) ^c

(.0002) ^c

(.0002) ^c

(.0002) ^c

Union

.0775

.1065

.0532

.0199

.0285

.0126

(.0150) ^c

(.0163) ^c

(.0206) ^c

(.0226)

(.0285)

(.0198)

Atlantic

.4349

.3257

.2766

.2587

.1274

.2942

(.0361) ^c

(.0341) ^c

(.0306) ^c

(.0558) ^c

(.0422) ^c

(.0323) ^c

Quebec

.2284

.1508

.0845

.0595

−.0177

.1158

(.0303) ^c

(.0157) ^c

(.0299) ^c

(.0238) ^b

(.0216)

(.0253) ^c

Prairie

−.1340

−.0910

−.0517

−.0329

−.0617

−.0764

(.0437) ^c

(.0139) ^c

(.0164) ^c

(.0250)

(.0275) ^b

(.0164) ^c

BC

.1163

.1069

.1095

.0566

.0001

.0884

(.0297) ^c

(.0290) ^c

(.0247) ^c

(.0350)

(.0337)

(.0221) ^c

Constant

−.7691

−.6926

−.4260

−.2235

−.6727

−.6289

(.2024) ^c

(.1446) ^c

(.1328) ^c

(.1794)

(.1622) ^c

(.1471) ^c

Firm active estimates—exclusion restrictions

log RER _jt

−.1165

.0167

−.0649

−.7401

.0052

−.2341

(.0878)

(.1220)

(.1802)

(.2693) ^c

(.8326)

(.0948) ^b

\(\log \overline {\text {wage bill}}_{ikjt}\)

.4257

.1833

.1428

.0722

.3200

.3363

(.0201) ^c

(.0493) ^c

(.0411) ^c

(.0376) ^a

(.0511) ^c

(.0248) ^c

ρ (correlation)

−.2913

−.3842

.9171

.5114

.0937

−.0487

(.0764) ^c

(.1698) ^c

(.0091) ^c

(.3475)

(.4337)

(.1713)

LR test χ ² (selection)

12.89

4.13

739.38

1.44

.05

.0807

p value

0

.042

0

.230

.830

.7764

Observation-censored

80,672

27,214

18,571

8387

4449

139,293

Observations

791,138

806,543

979,833

718,374

1,904,505

5,200,393

logL

−339,866.5

−235,821.1

−225,177.8

−128,665.1

−174,849.7

−1,187,556