Table 4 Difference-in-difference estimates of the effect of the great recession on women’s probability of being childless at 32–39. Linear probability models (CPS Fertility Supplement data)

From: The causal effect of the great recession on childlessness of white American women

	Treatment versus Control^a
	Model	Model	Model	Model
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
Age 36–39^b	−0.051***	−0.052***	−0.055***	−0.037***
	(−0.071 - -0.032)	(−0.072 - -0.032)	(−0.074 - -0.035)	(−0.055 - -0.019)
Treatment cohort	−0.024**	−0.026**	−0.030***	−0.033***
	(−0.045 - -0.003)	(−0.046 - -0.005)	(−0.051 - -0.009)	(−0.052 - -0.015)
DD (Age 36-39* Treatment cohort)	0.032**	0.032**	0.030**	0.022
	(0.003 - 0.060)	(0.003 - 0.061)	(0.001 - 0.059)	(−0.004 - 0.048)
Education^c
Completed Highschool			0.044***	0.063***
			(0.021 - 0.066)	(0.040 - 0.085)
Some college but no degree			0.067***	0.091***
			(0.043 - 0.092)	(0.066 - 0.115)
Associate's degree			0.069***	0.105***
			(0.041 - 0.097)	(0.079 - 0.132)
Bachelor's degree			0.145***	0.178***
			(0.120 - 0.169)	(0.154 - 0.201)
Master's degree or higher			0.216***	0.229***
			(0.185 - 0.247)	(0.200 - 0.257)
Marital Status^d
Married, spouse absent				0.097***
				(0.033 - 0.161)
Separated				0.054***
				(0.017 - 0.091)
Divorced				0.095***
				(0.072 - 0.117)
Widowed				0.104***
				(0.028 - 0.181)
Never married/single				0.481***
				(0.458 - 0.504)
State Fixed Effects	No	Yes	No	No
Constant	0.241***	0.227***	0.156***	0.044***
	(0.227 - 0.256)	(0.155 - 0.299)	(0.134 - 0.178)	(0.022 - 0.065)
N	12221	12221	12221	12221

Source: Elaboration of the author based on CPS June Fertility Supplement data
*p ≤ 0.05, **p ≤ 0.01, ***p ≤ 0.001. Robust Confidence intervals in parenthesis
^aIn the Treatment group women turn 36–39 in 2010 while in the Control group women turn 36–39 in 2006
^bReference category is Age group 32–35
^cReference category is Less than High school
^dReference category is Married with spouse present

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