The causal effect of the great recession on childlessness of white American women

Comolli, Chiara Ludovica; Bernardi, Fabrizio

doi:10.1186/s40172-015-0037-1

Table 3 Difference-in-Difference estimates of the effect of the Great Recession on women’s probability of being childless at 34–39. Linear Probability Models (ACS data)

From: The causal effect of the great recession on childlessness of white American women

	Placebo versus Control^a
	Model	Model	Model	Model	Model
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Age 37–39^b	−0.024***	−0.023***	−0.025***	−0.015***	−0.015***
	(−0.032 - -0.015)	(−0.032 - -0.015)	(−0.033 - -0.017)	(−0.022 - -0.008)	(−0.022 - -0.008)
Placebo Cohort	−0.001	−0.001	−0.004	−0.006	−0.005
	(−0.010 - 0.007)	(−0.010 - 0.007)	(−0.013 - 0.004)	(−0.013 - 0.002)	(−0.013 - 0.002)
DD (age 37-39* Placebo Cohort)	−0.007	−0.009	−0.006	−0.005	−0.007
DD (age 37-39* Placebo Cohort)	(−0.018 - 0.004)	(−0.020 - 0.002)	(−0.018 - 0.005)	(−0.015 - 0.004)	(−0.017 - 0.003)
Education^c
Completed Highschool			−0.020***	0.015***	0.002
			(−0.031 - -0.009)	(0.005 - 0.024)	(−0.008 - 0.012)
Some college but no degree			−0.024***	0.014***	−0.001
			(−0.035 - -0.013)	(0.004 - 0.024)	(−0.011 - 0.009)
Associate's degree			−0.027***	0.021***	0.002
			(−0.039 - -0.014)	(0.010 - 0.032)	(−0.009 - 0.014)
Bachelor's degree			0.025***	0.070***	0.055***
			(0.014 - 0.036)	(0.060 - 0.080)	(0.045 - 0.065)
Master's degree or higher			0.070***	0.101***	0.082***
			(0.058 - 0.083)	(0.090 - 0.112)	(0.071 - 0.093)
Marital Status^d
Married, spouse absent				0.351***	0.350***
				(0.325 - 0.378)	(0.324 - 0.377)
Separated				0.124***	0.117***
				(0.108 - 0.140)	(0.101 - 0.133)
Divorced				0.234***	0.224***
				(0.225 - 0.242)	(0.215 - 0.232)
Widowed				0.136***	0.136***
				(0.103 - 0.169)	(0.103 - 0.169)
Never married/single				0.640***	0.631***
				(0.633 - 0.648)	(0.624 - 0.639)
Employment Status^e
Has a job, not working					−0.047***
					(−0.060 - -0.033)
Armed forces, at work					0.025
					(−0.048 - 0.097)
Armed forces, not at work but with job					−0.221***
					(−0.230 - -0.213)
Unemployed					−0.009
					(−0.023 - 0.005)
Not in the labor force					−0.068***
					(−0.073 - -0.063)
State Fixed Effects	No	Yes	No	No	No
Constant	0.266***	0.234***	0.267***	0.109***	0.144***
	(0.260 - 0.272)	(0.211 - 0.257)	(0.256 - 0.278)	(0.099 - 0.118)	(0.134 - 0.155)
N	104164	104164	104164	104164	104164

Source: Elaboration of the author based on ACS data
^aIn the Control group women turn 37–39 in 2007 while in the Placebo group women turn 37–39 in 2004
^bReference category is Age group 34–36
^cReference category is Less than High school
^dReference category is Married with spouse present
^eReference category is working
* p ≤ 0.05, ** p ≤ 0.01, *** p ≤ 0.001. Robust Confidence intervals in parenthesis

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