The causal effect of the great recession on childlessness of white American women

Comolli, Chiara Ludovica; Bernardi, Fabrizio

doi:10.1186/s40172-015-0037-1

Table 2 Difference-in-difference estimates of the effect of the great recession on women’s probability of being childless at 34–39. Linear probability models (ACS data)

From: The causal effect of the great recession on childlessness of white American women

	Treatment versus Control^a
	Model	Model	Model	Model	Model
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Age 37-39^b	−0.031***	−0.032***	−0.031***	−0.021***	−0.022***
	(−0.038 - -0.023)	(−0.040 - -0.025)	(−0.039 - -0.024)	(−0.027 - -0.015)	(−0.029 - -0.016)
Treatment cohort	−0.016***	−0.017***	−0.017***	−0.019***	−0.019***
	(−0.023 - -0.008)	(−0.024 - -0.009)	(−0.024 - -0.010)	(−0.025 - -0.012)	(−0.026 - -0.013)
DD (Age 37-39*	0.018***	0.019***	0.019***	0.009**	0.008**
Treatment cohort)	(0.009 - 0.028)	(0.010 - 0.028)	(0.010 - 0.028)	(0.001 - 0.017)	(0.000 - 0.016)
Education^c
Completed Highschool			−0.010**	0.020***	0.008*
			(−0.019 - -0.001)	(0.012 - 0.028)	(−0.000 - 0.016)
Some college but no degree			−0.022***	0.018***	0.004
			(−0.031 - -0.013)	(0.010 - 0.026)	(−0.005 - 0.012)
Associate's degree			−0.031***	0.020***	0.002
			(−0.041 - -0.021)	(0.011 - 0.029)	(−0.007 - 0.012)
Bachelor's degree			0.023***	0.078***	0.063***
			(0.014 - 0.032)	(0.070 - 0.086)	(0.054 - 0.071)
Master's degree or higher			0.063***	0.110***	0.090***
			(0.053 - 0.073)	(0.102 - 0.119)	(0.082 - 0.099)
Marital Status^d
Married, spouse absent				0.336***	0.335***
				(0.315 - 0.357)	(0.314 - 0.356)
Separated				0.128***	0.122***
				(0.116 - 0.141)	(0.109 - 0.135)
Divorced				0.237***	0.228***
				(0.230 - 0.245)	(0.221 - 0.235)
Widowed				0.133***	0.134***
				(0.106 - 0.160)	(0.107 - 0.161)
Never married/single				0.622***	0.614***
				(0.616 - 0.628)	(0.607 - 0.620)
Employment Status^e
Has a job, not working					−0.047***
					(−0.059 - -0.035)
Armed forces, at work					0.028
					(−0.033 - 0.090)
Armed forces, not at work but with job					−0.202***
					(−0.235 - -0.169)
Unemployed					−0.010*
					(−0.021 - 0.000)
Not in the labor force					−0.064***
					(−0.068 - -0.060)
State fixed effects	No	Yes	No	No	No
Constant	0.264***	0.230***	0.261***	0.100***	0.135***
	(0.258 - 0.271)	(0.212 - 0.248)	(0.251 - 0.271)	(0.091 - 0.108)	(0.126 - 0.144)
N	150296	150296	150296	150296	150296

Source: Elaboration of the author based on ACS data
^aIn the Treatment group women turn 37–39 in 2010 while in the Control group women turn 37–39 in 2007
^bReference category is Age group 34–36
^cReference category is Less than High school
^dReference category is Married with spouse present
^eReference category is working
*p ≤ 0.05, **p ≤ 0.01, ***p ≤ 0.001. Robust Confidence Intervals in parenthesis

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