The long-term effects of military conscription on educational attainment and wages

Table 6 Sensitivity analysis of the effect of conscription on university graduation

	±1 birth cohort		±2 birth cohorts		±3 birth cohorts
Panel 1: Excluding birth	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
cohort 1958
Reduced form	-0.014***	-0.015***	-0.013***	-0.014***	-0.015***	-0.016***
	(0.0052)	(0.0052)	(0.0046)	(0.0047)	(0.0044)	(0.0045)
IV	-0.033***	-0.036***	-0.028**	-0.031***	-0.030***	-0.033***
	(0.012)	(0.012)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.011)
Observations	17,527	17,527	29,059	29,059	40,367	40,367
Panel 2: Difference-in-differences	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
estimates
Reduced form	-0.018**	-0.018**	-0.015**	-0.015**	-0.014**	-0.015**
	(0.007)	(0.007)	(0.007)	(0.007)	(0.006)	(0.006)
IV	-0.040**	-0.040**	-0.039**	-0.039**	-0.031**	-0.031**
	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.016)	(0.016)	(0.015)	(0.015)
Age polynomials	Linear	Quadratic	Linear	Quadratic	Linear	Quadratic
Observations	30,366	30,366	50,676	50,676	70,441	70,441

Notes: In Panel 1, each cell is based on a separate regression of education on military conscription as specified in Equations (2) and (4) on a sample excluding birth cohort 1958 and including an earlier birth cohort. In Panel 2, each column shows the difference-in-differences estimates of the effect of conscription using the pooled sample of men and women. Standard errors in parentheses: ***p <0.01, **p <0.05.