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Table 1 Level and volatility of transition probabilities

From: The importance of frequency in estimating labour market transition rates

 

Monthly

Quarterly

Continuous

 

Original

Extrapolated

Original

Extrapolated

Corrected

Corrected

 

n m

\({\hat {n}_{m}}\)

n q

\({\hat {n}_{q}}\)

\({\hat {\lambda }_{m}}\)

\({\hat {\lambda }_{q}}\)

Mean

E → U

0.015

0.010

0.023

0.027

0.020

0.012

E → I

0.029

0.015

0.046

0.086

0.358

0.213

U → E

0.260

0.178

0.383

0.460

0.028

0.015

U → I

0.221

0.120

0.259

0.376

0.312

0.145

I → E

0.046

0.023

0.070

0.139

0.044

0.022

I → U

0.026

0.013

0.027

0.044

0.036

0.015

Volatility

E → U

0.0025

0.0018

0.0046

0.0058

0.0029

0.0020

E → I

0.0026

0.0014

0.0039

0.0070

0.0728

0.0408

U → E

0.0405

0.0295

0.0486

0.0456

0.0028

0.0014

U → I

0.0240

0.0158

0.0248

0.0230

0.0481

0.0223

I → E

0.0040

0.0020

0.0059

0.0110

0.0039

0.0020

I → U

0.0035

0.0016

0.0045

0.0085

0.0037

0.0017

  1. Note: Average transition rates and standard deviation from 1976:2 to 2011:6. n m and n q are the matrices calculated directly from CPS. \(\hat {n}_{m}\) and \(\hat {n}_{q}\) are calculated using equations ( 1 ) and ( 2). \(\hat {\lambda }_{m}\) and \(\hat {\lambda }_{q}\) are the continuous transition rates calculated using equations ( 3 ) and ( 4 ).