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Table 9 Decomposing the effect of Prop 209 on minority graduation rates

From: Affirmative action and university fit: evidence from Proposition 209

  Model Specification:
  Baseline (1) (2) (3) (4)
  Level Share of Total Level Share of Total Level Share of Total Level Share of Total Level Share of Total
(A) Improved Matching 0.13 3.0% 0.64 14.7% 0.69 15.8% 1.20 27.7% 0.77 17.8%
Upper Bound on Behavioral Response
(B) Behavioral Response 3.06 70.5% 2.91 67.0% 2.92 67.1% 2.21 50.8% 2.80 64.4%
(C) Selection 1.15 26.6% 0.79 18.2% 0.74 17.1% 0.93 21.5% 0.77 17.8%
Lower Bound on Behavioral Response
(B’) Behavioral Response    1.44 33.2% 1.33 30.7% 0.43 9.8% 1.01 23.3%
(C’) Selection    2.26 52.1% 2.33 53.5% 2.72 62.5% 2.56 58.9%
  1. Specifications as listed in Table 5.
  2. Selection effect calculated as Total Increase -(A)-(B).
  3. For results dropping bottom of PRE admit distribution, baseline not reported because there is no DK distribution from admission variables.