Affirmative action and university fit: evidence from Proposition 209

Table 6 Rankings of UC campuses by predicted graduation rates at various percentiles of the high school academic index percentiles based on minority coefficients estimates ^†

Percentile of the Minority Academic Index
10th		25th		50th		75th		90th
UC Santa Cruz	0.611	UC Santa Cruz	0.627	UC Irvine	0.648	UC Irvine	0.689	UCLA	0.726
UC Riverside	0.602	UC Riverside	0.621	UC Santa Cruz	0.645	UC Santa Barbara	0.674	UC Irvine	0.725
UC Irvine	0.571	UC Irvine	0.607	UC Riverside	0.642	UC San Diego	0.666	UC San Diego	0.721
UC Santa Barbara	0.567	UC Santa Barbara	0.600	UC Santa Barbara	0.637	UCLA	0.664	UC Santa Barbara	0.707
UC Berkeley	0.535	UC Berkeley	0.574	UC Berkeley	0.617	UC Riverside	0.663	UC Berkeley	0.699
UC San Diego	0.488	UC San Diego	0.543	UC San Diego	0.604	UC Santa Cruz	0.663	UC Davis	0.694
UCLA	0.465	UCLA	0.527	UCLA	0.596	UC Berkeley	0.661	UC Riverside	0.682
UC Davis	0.453	UC Davis	0.510	UC Davis	0.573	UC Davis	0.637	UC Santa Cruz	0.679

Data Source: UCOP.
^†Average predicted graduation probabilities in parentheses. The predicted probabilities were formed using the estimated coefficients for Specification 4 of (5) for minorities and were predicted using the characteristics of minority students that enrolled at one of the UC campuses in the years 1995–1997.