Affirmative action and university fit: evidence from Proposition 209

Table 3 pre- to post-Prop 209 changes in graduation rates: without & with controls

	Regression coefficient on:
Regression		*POST×*	*POST×*	*POST×*
Specification:	*POST*	*Q1(AI)* ^§	*Q2(AI)*	*Q3(AI)*
Under-represented Minorities
No Controls	0.044***
Control for AI	0.030***
Extended Controls 1^†	0.031***
Extended Controls 2^‡	0.030***
Control for AI	0.005	0.041***	0.035***	0.028**
Extended Controls 1^†	0.008	0.037**	0.031**	0.028**
Extended Controls 2^‡	0.005	0.035**	0.037***	0.035***
Whites
No Controls	0.025***
Control for AI	0.013***
Extended Controls 1^†	0.014***
Extended Controls 2^‡	0.014***
Control for AI	0.013**	-0.006	0.008	0.000
Extended Controls 1^†	0.012**	-0.003	0.009	0.001
Extended Controls 2^‡	0.011*	-0.002	0.011	0.002

*** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1.
^§Academic index quartiles are based on pre-Prop 209 enrollees and are group specific: breakpoints for the quartiles vary by minority/white status.
^†Extended controls 1 include parents’ education & income, initial major and AI.
^‡Extended controls 2 include parents’ education & income, initial major, alone and crossed with AI (and AI alone).